Ben Muse profiles Lael Brainard, who might become Obama’s USTR.
Update: More profiles of six possible candidates (3 Dem; 3 GOP), including Brainard.
Ben Muse profiles Lael Brainard, who might become Obama’s USTR.
Update: More profiles of six possible candidates (3 Dem; 3 GOP), including Brainard.
Oh dear lord, Paul Krugman is a Nobel laureate and people have decided to politicize it, spewing inaccurate and irrelevant complaints. I don’t have time to write this out as a proper essay, but I have to comment.
Forbes has four columns from economists on the subject. Alongside Arvind Panagariya’s low-tech layperson introduction to Krugman (1979, 1980) and Arvind Subramanian’s longer reflection on Krugman’s three research themes (trade, economic geography, currency crises), parsimonious (specific functional forms) style, and transformation into NYT columnist, we have negative reactions from William Anderson and Peter Boettke.
Let me only briefly address Anderson’s column, since it is atrocious. This is perhaps the worst possible summary of Krugman’s (1979, 1980) trade models:
Krugman contends that nations can create comparative advantages by subsidizing certain industries, something the ancients once called Mercantilism.
Hint: Comparative advantage is nowhere to be found in those papers. They’re single-sector models.
The rest of Anderson’s column is the argument that Krugman’s book was a distorted history of 20th century America (probably true, see Ed Glaeser) and misrepresenting Krugman’s take on the Paulson Plan.
On to Boettke. He also misrepresents Krugman:
Krugman became ideological and partisan more than a decade prior to the announcement of his prize. And he has not really written serious academic papers or books in economics during that time span. Krugman more or less abandoned scientific economics when he decided to start writing for a broader audience in the 1990s.
Gee, what’s this on my bookshelf from my graduate level trade course? Why, it’s The Spatial Economy: Cities, Regions, and International Trade by Fujita, Krugman, and Venables. Copyright? 2001. And here’s Krugman sketching out the dollar crisis last summer. And of course, Krugman has been pushing his thoughts on trade and inequality, to the chagrin of some.
Boettke then goes on to discuss new trade theory, disproportionately emphasizing the potential for strategic protectionism, just like Wikipedia does. He then basically says that Krugman’s work was only necessary because economists insist on mathematical formalism.
Libertarians like Pete Boettke and Russ Roberts (whose “least favorite Krugman quote” is a completely benign explanation that the mean doesn’t characterize a distribution) are worried that the prize may validate Krugman’s partisan NYT column. Russ Roberts even says that he has “talked to a number of people who are depressed and angry at Krugman’s prize.” For truly embarrassing responses to the award, head to Marginal Revolution’s comment section.
This is ridiculous. Paul Krugman is a once-in-a-generation trade theorist who irrevocably shaped the field. He is no less an economist because he disagrees with you on normative public policy questions. Shame on those who try to spoil his well-deserved celebration.
Congratulations to Paul Krugman, the very deserving winner of this year’s Nobel prize “for his analysis of trade patterns and location of economic activity.”
International commodities trade is taking a hit as the credit markets freeze:
The credit crisis is spilling over into the grain industry as international buyers find themselves unable to come up with payment, forcing sellers to shoulder often substantial losses.
Before cargoes can be loaded at port, buyers typically must produce proof they are good for the money. But more deals are falling through as sellers decide they don’t trust the financial institution named in the buyer’s letter of credit, analysts said.
“There’s all kinds of stuff stacked up on docks right now that can’t be shipped because people can’t get letters of credit,” said Bill Gary, president of Commodity Information Systems in Oklahoma City. “The problem is not demand, and it’s not supply because we have plenty of supply. It’s finding anyone who can come up with the credit to buy.”
Michael Clemens has an interesting post over at CGD on various ways we might improve (or even start) collection of data on migration.
Iceland’s exchange rate has plunged by more than 60%. Yesterday it tried pegging its currency and today it abandoned the peg.
Want to find your place in the world income distribution? Enter your annual income at globalrichlist.com to learn your percentile.
Of course, it’s not a perfect exercise. Their numbers are from Branko Milanovic’s 2000 World Bank working paper (later published in the Economic Journal in 2002). The distribution is for 1988 or 1993. Lots of work has been done on this topic since 2000 (notably by Milanovic himself). For example, Xavier Sala-i-Mation’s 2006 QJE paper on income inequality has a cumulative distribution function for world income in 2000.
Nonetheless, it’s a good exercise to help people think about the global economy and poverty.
Hat tip to Sabrina.
Peter Mandelson is stepping down from his position as EU trade commissioner to become Labour’s business minister in the UK. His replacement, Catherine Margaret Ashton, has been a midlevel minister in various UK governments. Emmanuel notes that she’s relatively unknown, comparing her to Sarah Palin (now that’s a bit unfair, I think).
Richard Baldwin notes that most of the people working on the round won’t be around much longer:
By the time the new American administration is in place, Dame Ashtonâs term at the commission will be up. By late 2009 the US and EU will be restarting negotiations with fresh talent and limited institutional memory. That’s reason enough to be pessimistic, but if the WTO does not renew the term of Pascal Lamy, its director-general, next year (or if he doesnât want another term), then it may be time to kiss this round goodbye.
Emmanuel watches Battle in Seattle so that you won’t have to.
The WTO continues to rule against the US on zeroing. Unsurprising.